this post was submitted on 06 Aug 2026
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[–] SnotFlickerman@lemmy.blahaj.zone 135 points 2 weeks ago* (last edited 2 weeks ago) (20 children)

The fact that the US has turned literally everything into something you can gamble on really shows how much of a failure of a society the US truly is.

The social contract has been dead for 50 years and yet people younger than fifty still out there acting like nothings wrong, and all you need to do is "get a better job" and everything will be fine.

Man I'm not sure getting a better job is gonna help me escape climate change exacerbated wildfires, nor the gambling markets that incentivize arson.

[–] eleijeep@piefed.social 20 points 2 weeks ago

It's the logical conclusion of "individualism."

[–] njordomir@lemmy.world 14 points 2 weeks ago

Thanks for the insider info. Someone go put a bet on this guy not escaping climate change or arson gambling markets. /s

[–] ColeSloth@discuss.tchncs.de 6 points 2 weeks ago (1 children)

You speak as if prediction market gambling started in the US. That's as much bullshit as claiming it started in your country. Things like this have been going on for hundreds of years.

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[–] CIA_chatbot@lemmy.world 113 points 2 weeks ago* (last edited 2 weeks ago) (4 children)

No shit you dumbfucks, prediction markets incentivize a fuck load of illegal shit and corruption and should be banned

[–] Thorry@feddit.org 42 points 2 weeks ago (1 children)

Even if it were all above board, it's just gambling and should be heavily restricted just as all other forms of betting.

[–] nullspace@lemmy.world 36 points 2 weeks ago (1 children)

I'm against gambling, but at least with slot machines and poker tables there isn't a cash incentive to go light the forest on fire.

[–] postmateDumbass@lemmy.world 4 points 2 weeks ago

With sports betting you are still not allowed to bet on your own games or leauges.

To remove betting on outcomes you control much of.

[–] minorkeys@sh.itjust.works 15 points 2 weeks ago

Given the texts between Daniel Cormier and Trump's kid, it's very obvious why they're allowing this and what extent they're willing to go to make money.

[–] Pika@sh.itjust.works 4 points 2 weeks ago (1 children)

Yeah, just outlaw prediction markets that contain negative values. or political values, like who cares about weather predictions but anythijg that can change society needs a heavy block

[–] UselessAsshole@lemmy.world 3 points 2 weeks ago

Your first five words were the correct sentence.

Policing online gambling would require an act of congress, a new agency, and a shitload of work just to protect Trump Jr.'s business interests.

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[–] velma@sh.itjust.works 44 points 2 weeks ago (2 children)

This shit makes me particularly upset as the current Washington State fires were caused by an arsonist.

10,000 acres burning and only 13% contained.

[–] SnotFlickerman@lemmy.blahaj.zone 20 points 2 weeks ago (1 children)

I'm not even near the fires and I've been cooped up inside for days because the AQI is insanely bad all over the state.

[–] ayyy@sh.itjust.works 5 points 2 weeks ago

The 3 seasons of Washington: windy rain, smoke, and lukewarm rain.

[–] scrubbles@poptalk.scrubbles.tech 11 points 2 weeks ago (1 children)

Right? Now I'm wondering if it was for some bullshit gambling payout.

[–] velma@sh.itjust.works 9 points 2 weeks ago (1 children)

https://www.seattletimes.com/seattle-news/environment/spokane-arson-suspect-told-prosecutors-he-started-25-other-fires-documents-say/

A man suspected of starting one of three catastrophic Spokane-area wildfires on Saturday is facing additional arson charges after allegedly admitting to starting 25 other fires around Riverside State Park since last July, according to a memorandum prosecutors filed Wednesday in Spokane County Superior Court.

By Wednesday, detectives had corroborated evidence indicating the man started at least four of the 25 fires he had described, prosecutors said in the memorandum.

The 37-year-old was arrested Monday at his West Spokane apartment, two days after prosecutors allege he sparked the Old Trails fire. He was booked into the Spokane County Jail on suspicion of first-degree arson, where he is being held on $1 million bond. The man is scheduled to be arraigned 3 p.m. Thursday in Spokane County Superior Court.

Maybe, maybe not. This guy has been starting fires for a while apparently and this is after he murdered his father over dishes.

[–] scrubbles@poptalk.scrubbles.tech 4 points 2 weeks ago (1 children)

Holy shit 25 fires? It's too bad it took this one to catch him. 1 million seems low for the sheer property value at risk alone, not counting everything else

[–] JasonDJ@lemmy.zip 4 points 2 weeks ago

That's bond.

That's not the price on his freedom forever. That's the deposit for getting to have freedom while awaiting trial.

[–] Mangoholic@lemmy.ml 31 points 2 weeks ago (1 children)

You can bann prediction markets in general

[–] arararagi@ani.social 4 points 2 weeks ago

How will they make bank predicting military operations?

[–] Lucidlethargy@sh.itjust.works 30 points 2 weeks ago (6 children)

Yeah no shit! What the fuck?!

Fuck every person that takes part in a bet like this. I'll put them in the same category as Trump voters. Scorched earth.

[–] Nonconfrontational@lemmy.ml 15 points 2 weeks ago (1 children)

Just start a betting pool on if the kalshi or polymarket head offices get firebombed in the next 60 days, problem solved either way.

[–] some_guy@lemmy.sdf.org 3 points 2 weeks ago

I didn't expect to open the comments and laugh. Well done.

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[–] Alvaro@lemmy.blahaj.zone 26 points 2 weeks ago (1 children)

Insider trading in my insider trading platform???

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[–] JcbAzPx@lemmy.world 22 points 2 weeks ago (1 children)

We've had major wildfires started by part time firefighters looking to create some work for themselves. Wildfire gambling is pretty much guaranteed to turn all of our countryside into ash.

[–] ivanafterall@lemmy.world 4 points 2 weeks ago

I bet you it won't.

[–] sundray@lemmus.org 19 points 2 weeks ago

could incentivize arson

But moooooonnnnneeyyyy!

[–] FlashMobOfOne@lemmy.world 16 points 2 weeks ago* (last edited 2 weeks ago)

It reminds me of a really great line from the movie Coming To America: "Imagine a country so free one can throw glass in its streets."

Donald has personal financial interests in prediction markets and his properties probably have private firefighting. What the fuck does he care?

And for the next two years he's going to have nothing to lose. We'll see if there's any America left once he's done.

[–] ArmchairAce1944@discuss.online 15 points 2 weeks ago (3 children)

Why can't these people just go to casinos and lose everything on blackjack and roulette like normal gambling addicts?

[–] billwashere@lemmy.world 10 points 2 weeks ago (1 children)

Because you can’t control blackjack and roulette.

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[–] titanicx@lemmy.zip 4 points 2 weeks ago

You mean go outside the house? Like some sort of peasant without the internet?

[–] ivanafterall@lemmy.world 4 points 2 weeks ago

We should have Kalshi bets on whether these people will ever be able to break their gambling addictions.

[–] Dookieman12@piefed.social 14 points 2 weeks ago (1 children)

But all the other forms of market manipulation are fine. Lol

[–] NikkiDimes@lemmy.world 3 points 2 weeks ago

"Will Iran be bombed today?"

[–] Mr_Dr_Oink@lemmy.world 12 points 2 weeks ago

I still can't believe this is a real sentence

[–] Zen_Shinobi@lemmy.world 12 points 2 weeks ago

They should make wildlifes illegal and this whole thing will stop /s

[–] pipi1234@lemmy.world 8 points 2 weeks ago

Oh man, This is it. I lost the last remaining smidget of hope on humanity.

[–] Sineljora@sh.itjust.works 7 points 2 weeks ago (2 children)

Can we bet on when/if Kalshi headquarters gets burned down?

[–] JasonDJ@lemmy.zip 5 points 2 weeks ago

That could incentivize arson...

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[–] BigMacHole@thelemmy.club 5 points 2 weeks ago

I PRAY to GOD that Prediction Markets WRITE LEGISLATION to STOP People from putting a Viral Bet on if Billionaire Island in Florida will BURN DOWN! PLEASE just let us bet on OUR deaths NOT the Deaths of Rich People!

-Republican Voters!

[–] Snapz@lemmy.world 5 points 2 weeks ago

Could? You mean "are actively"

[–] Greyghoster@aussie.zone 4 points 2 weeks ago

Sounds like something Trump would be interested in.

[–] Malyca@lemmy.zip 4 points 2 weeks ago

Spokane fire was arson, they arrested the guy. Dark days.

[–] Danarchy@lemmy.nz 4 points 2 weeks ago (2 children)

Just stick to betting on wholesome things like if a kid’s gonna croak from cancer

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[–] TotalCourage007@lemmy.world 3 points 2 weeks ago* (last edited 2 weeks ago)

I have a suggestion for the datacenter antifa that might get me banned if I explain it further.

edit: as in I support anti datacenter joke just to be clear.

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