Eyekaytee

joined 3 years ago
[–] Eyekaytee@aussie.zone 0 points 2 months ago* (last edited 2 months ago) (3 children)

They’ve booked future profit from OpenAI owing them almost a trillion dollars. If OpenAI can’t pay that bill when the time comes, Oracle is completely fucked.

I'd say they're the ones most likely to get screwed on this but I just don't see how a tech titan drawdown causes the whole world go into a great depression

This isn't 1987 where only upper middle class people invest in stocks, everyone has a stock app on their phone these days, if jobs aren't lost money will continue to pump because line goes up

Maybe I'm just too optimistic but if captain dickfingers giving the world a tariff hit, a global pandemic and "the worst oil crisis ever" can't put a dent in things, I just don't think a pullback on AI spend is going to do it (unless there's a ton of other structural problems in the global economy that bloggers will point out how obvious it was only once it fails)

Bad comparison. Spotify has already been a profitable, publicly-traded company for years.

That doesn't wipe my memory of listening to reddit users and lemmy users since 2012 talk about how streaming music is unprofitable and will go broke any day, to which I argued they are after market share (to which I received many a downvote, lemmy eh?)

Remember how Uber was about to go broke? Not going to lie, this literally feels like just more circlejerking about companies that are spending a lot and will go broke any day now...

5 minutes ago Lemmy was comparing AI to NFT's and Crypto, in 2026!

Sorry if I hold a grudge and you are not as dim-witted and not good with computers as the average lemmy user, it's hard to shake hearing the same prophecies I've been hearing about other high spending companies for decades

And without seeing GAAP accounting showing where all the money goes in support of inference, I am highly doubtful that it’s profitable.

You're right but we do have a little bit of an idea:

On inference alone, both companies project profitability

https://aiafterhours.substack.com/p/openai-vs-anthropic-the-121-billion

https://www.tradingkey.com/analysis/stocks/us-stocks/261756528-anthropic-openai-ipo-tradingkey

Anecdotes aren’t data

I didn't just say an anecdote, I linked to this as well:

Anthropic’s Insane Enterprise Surge Made Them #1 by Early 2026

https://lemmy.world/post/48781135

Maybe even a little

Claude is now embedded in 60% of Fortune 500 companies' productivity suites as of Q2 2025

They are very clearly in the business segment, I've heard nothing like this for Qwen or GLM or local hosted models, in fact when self hosting was bought up the dev's mentioned "??? you can't self host claude ??"

I work with actual machine-learning engineers

This is like saying I work with actual system admins, they say that Windows is terrible and that it'll be the year of the linux desktop any day now

You need to vibe check the office and devs vs the engineers

The vibe in the office (and what I'm reading) is that claude is gold

That said I spoke to a normal person the other day and they hadn't heard of claude at all, blew my mind

[–] Eyekaytee@aussie.zone 1 points 2 months ago (1 children)

a video with dozens one liner arguments that cannot be addressed without writing half a book.

Because you keep doing stuff like this, don’t bother writing a book, half a book, or even a paper, the idea you can convince me with something that no one in 50 years in Australia hasn’t thought of is insulting to the thousands of people and engineers who have worked on making it a reality

Here’s a serious video for you

https://m.youtube.com/watch?v=8nEaa3UI5QA

and if you go on youtube you’ll find a dozen more that go into it

If you’ve got 150 billion in your back pocket let me know and we can get started on this thing

[–] Eyekaytee@aussie.zone 1 points 2 months ago (3 children)

Please stop down voting comments you disagree with, it makes you look like a dick

[–] Eyekaytee@aussie.zone -1 points 2 months ago

This is non-politics community. For political memes please go to !politicalmemes@lemmy.world

[–] Eyekaytee@aussie.zone 0 points 2 months ago (5 children)

No business that is built entirely on AI is profitable. Not one.

The major players behind them all

nvidia, microsoft, google, oracle, etc are all profitable

Training is an ongoing expense, not a startup expense.

inference is profitable, training is not

training is what the majority of data centre spend is going towards

if they want to be profitable pull back the training but right now they are competing for market share

feel free to look back at all the times lemmy predicted the end of spotify because it wasn’t profitable, now they turn around and cry it’s making money

Qwen, running in a well-designed harness such as OpenCode, with a carefully written AGENTS.md file, is of comparable performance to at least Claude Sonnet, and possibly Claude Opus. All without the massive, ludicrous infrastructure requirements.

At work nobody is talking like this, everyone is talking about claude and it makes sense, it’s the best thing since vscode

https://lemmy.world/post/48781135

[–] Eyekaytee@aussie.zone 0 points 2 months ago (5 children)

You’re confused why it’s not getting past the planning stage?

Maybe watch the video again? You’re literally the guy in it :)

https://m.youtube.com/watch?v=8av3knflbQo

[–] Eyekaytee@aussie.zone 1 points 2 months ago

No it doesn’t

Notably, as shown in Figure 1, passenger cars accounted for 73.0% of passenger-km travelled in the EU-27 in 2022 – the largest of any mode of transport

Public transport activity reached around 995 billion passenger-km in the EU-27 in 2019. This represents a 2.2 percentage points reduction in the share of these modes in the total transport activity compared with 1995. This share reached approximately 16.6% in 2019

https://www.eea.europa.eu/en/analysis/publications/sustainability-of-europes-mobility-systems/passenger-transport-activity

Cars > Trains

[–] Eyekaytee@aussie.zone 0 points 2 months ago (7 children)

i give up mate, if you can’t read i can’t help you

[–] Eyekaytee@aussie.zone 1 points 2 months ago (9 children)

That is exclusively a problem of politcal and may be incompetence.

you are free to crique the last 50 years and 10 different government and private enterprise attempts at doing it

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/High-speed_rail_in_Australia

apparently you know better 👍

[–] Eyekaytee@aussie.zone 1 points 2 months ago* (last edited 2 months ago) (1 children)

Earbuds.

Yes they are in my ears 24x7, I do like listening through my speaker though

Never seen that over here, what are yall doing differently?

Where are you? I bet I can find out pretty quickly you have security teams on your trains at night

You must have excessively shitty trains if having to pay attention to traffic while sitting in 1 position can be more comfortable than sipping tea in a dining car, free to stretch your legs or just using a laptop at your seat.

It's really not that hard to drive and I would rather get to work in 30 minutes than sit around for an hour, the comfort difference is minimal to me, especially so if it's busy and trains are packed, then nobody is stretching your legs

[–] Eyekaytee@aussie.zone 1 points 2 months ago

Please don't downvote just because you have a different opinion, it makes you look like a dick

[–] Eyekaytee@aussie.zone 1 points 2 months ago (11 children)

Funnily enough your own map shows how Australia is actually perfectly siuted for extensive rail

Yes, it has been attempted many many many times, it's now parodied in our own parks and rec style comedy program:

Is A High-Speed Rail Possible In Australia? | Utopia

https://m.youtube.com/watch?v=8av3knflbQo

certainly also has the population to support one as well

I don't think you are noticing just how sparsely populated we are and how big those mountains are in between the cities

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