Fondots

I always hear about the importance of shopping around for insurance, and I don't necessarily do it every single year, but probably about every other year

And everywhere I look my quotes are always about the same, within a few bucks of what I'm already paying.

And I guess if you add it all up over the years a couple of bucks a month difference does eventually add up to something kind of significant.

But having been with my current company/agent for a while and having had to use my insurance a couple times over the years, I don't mind that so much because I've found them pretty easy to work with. They've paid out when I needed them to without any drama, and they've been willing to cut me when, like when I had some billing snafu that was kind of my fault they were saw that I'd been a customer for a while with otherwise perfect payment history and we're willing to waive some fees that were otherwise tacked on. And jumping ship to save very little money and not knowing if the new company is going to be as decent to work with just doesn't seem like a smart move to me.

Still pisses me off to no end that my insurance goes up every year though. My car's not appreciating in value any, and I'm not getting any younger or more reckless on the road, nor have I reached the age yet where my mental faculties have started to nosedive, and I have a very clean driving history.

I'm not disabled, at least not visibly, there might be a bit of neurospiciness going on in the background, but I do have kind of a unique look- shaved head, big beard, curly moustache, and kind of an interesting sense of style, so I get a lot of looks (and, not for nothing, compliments.)

The other day I was dressed up a bit and on my way to meet up with my wife to have a nice dinner. I was wearing a linen suit and panama hat, so definitely dressed a good bit spiffier than most people on the street.

As I was walking down the sidewalk on my way to this restaurant, this little girls' eyes just kind of lock onto me like I was the most interesting thing she'd ever seen, and she just kind of starts wandering towards me, and walks directly into my path. If I'd been distracted on my phone or something I might have tripped over her.

She wasn't quite a toddler, but not much older.

I didn't mind it at all, I don't really like kids, it was kind of funny, maybe even a bit flattering, but i could definitely see it getting old for people getting that kind of attention for things they're not in control or proud of.

Kind of similarly, my wife tends to come home from work and get changed right into her pajamas, and I think that kind of flips a mental switch for her saying that she's done doing stuff for the day, and so she kind of struggles to get any chores done after work or on her days off. She also kind of has trouble sleeping sometimes.

I tend to get dressed and stay that way until it's time for bed, and I feel that I tend to be a bit more productive at home than her.

And I feel like that kind of helps create more of a mental divide. If I'm up and wearing clothes it's time to get stuff done, if I'm wearing pajamas it's time to relax and get ready for bed.

My old dog was a puppy when the local baseball team won the world series. We took him outside after the game, and our neighbor behind us started lighting off some pretty big fireworks.

The first one or two startled him a little, but he saw that we weren't reacting and quick settled down. Then he started to enjoy them. He'd watch the neighbors light one up, watch it shoot into the sky and explode, and then back to the neighbor, tail wagging waiting for another one.

After that, any time he heard them going off somewhere he'd run around to the windows trying to get a better look. If he could find a good angle he'd happily stand there and watch the entire show.

My current dog just doesn't react to them at all. We got her at about a year old, so I don't know what, if anything, her previous humans did to desensitize her, but at most she just kind of groans and rolls over if they're close enough to disturb her nap. I actually use them as a good excuse to take her for a walk because she is kind of dog-reactive and I know no one else is going to be out walking their dogs during the fireworks.

I don't think it needs to be an actual AI to cause a "Chernobyl Moment" maybe almost literally.

We have tech bros and random clueless idiots trying to shoehorn these glorified chat bots into basically everything, and an administration that doesn't seem interested in putting meaningful guardrails on the technology. What happens when it gets put in charge of something it really shouldn't and starts to hallucinate?

If it somehow ends up in charge of critical safety systems in a nuclear plant? (Remember that some of these tech bros want to have their own plants to power their data centers)

Or air traffic control and causes multiple crashes? (Pretty sure I've already seen that idea being floated)

Maybe every cybertruck goes haywire stuck on self-driving mode and they cause tons of damages and deaths for a few hours until their batteries run out.

Maybe it gets used to route navigation in Google maps and it ends up causing massive gridlock in every major city around the world for a day or two

Perhaps it gets used for identifying vehicles on traffic cameras and automatically issuing citations, but ends up citing everyone on the highway for a week whether or not they actually did anything plus a bunch of cars that it hallucinated before someone catches on. Millions of tickets are issued and need to be sorted out, if anyone actually pays the fines refunds need to be issued, some people maybe get their license revoked and maybe even get arrested because of it and all of that needs to be set straight

If any of these kinds of things happen on a big enough scale, I think that could be a Chernobyl Moment for AI

At least as far as ice harvesting goes, that's a pretty well-documented historical fact that can be verified.

As far as my friends dad being able to ice skate on the creek, it's a bit harder to verify what he was doing 60 or so years ago, especially since he's dead, but he was also the kind of guy who did plenty of crazy things in his day, and that story would be downright tame compared to just about every other story involving him so it's kind of hard to imagine that that was the one he misremembered or embellished, but I suppose it was possible.

And there are plenty of other little leftovers, like several parks and such in the area where the ice thickness is monitored by the park staff because once upon a time you used to be able to reliably skate and fish on the ice.

I live in an area where ice used to be an industry. Not even a minute drive from my house is a lake where they'd cut big blocks of ice and ship them downstream to stack and pack in sawdust and such to last the rest of the year. This area supplied a lot of the ice for the city of Philadelphia because closer to the city the Schuylkill and Delaware rivers were too dirty and no one wanted ice from them.

This went on until around 100 years ago, maybe even a bit longer, my dad in his 70s remembers his grandmother still getting ice delivered for her icebox for part of his childhood until she finally got a refrigerator.

My friends dad, who was a bit younger than my dad, used to tell stories about how the local creek would freeze over in the winter and he and his friends would ice skate down the frozen creek to get to another town about 5 miles away.

I actively keep an eye on ice conditions around me because I would like to try ice fishing some day. It's only been a handful of times over the last decade or so where any body of water around here has frozen over enough for it to be possible, and even then it's only been just the absolute bare minimum 4 inches and I'd ideally want another inch or two before I felt comfortable enough to actually try it.

I've never even seen that creek freeze over enough that even some foolhardy kids would be able to try skating on it, I've seen it get maybe 1 inch of ice, and even that was a rare occurrence, they'd break right through if they tried.

These are things that people around me should remember or at least should remember their parents and grandparents talking about, not something that's totally out of living memory, and yet they still refuse to see it.