this post was submitted on 07 Aug 2026
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[–] Dookieman12@piefed.social 67 points 3 weeks ago (26 children)

My prediction:

  1. Investors continue to fuel demand, choking supply
  2. Plans to monetize LLMs don't pan out
  3. Eventually, lenders call their margins
  4. Investors see the called margins and get spooked; demand fizzles
  5. AI companies desperately try to liquidate their positions. Seeing the price of components, there's a rush to sell while prices are high.
  6. PC components flood the market
  7. Record high supply, record low prices
  8. PC gaming golden age
[–] MimicJar@lemmy.world 5 points 3 weeks ago (1 children)

So you're not 100% incorrect, but does it happen in 2027? 2028?

Logistically it'll probably happen eventually, but when?

[–] ParlimentOfDoom@piefed.zip 2 points 3 weeks ago

OpenAI is likely to be the first domino to fall that causes the whole bubble to pop. They're burning over $10-15 billion a year in losses, and have shown that any attempts to scale only increase that burn rate. They're running out of investor money to toss into the fire.

And they just announced a last ditch free unlimited for everyone plan to...I dunno drum up interest or hope it converts to paying customers or something. So their costs are about to skyrocket even more, accelerating their death spiral

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