this post was submitted on 24 Jun 2026
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The lump of labour fallacy was applicable to horses for 2000 years, new inventions that improved efficiency increased their demand ever further until the internal combustion engine closed every remaining niche all at once. The same will happen to us, it's mathematically inevitable. It might not be LLMs that do it, but something will.
How many car jobs are there now compared to however many horse jobs there used to be?
I feel like it’s many many fewer jobs, and the horse jobs did more of a disappearance than a pivot. But I don’t know it.
Does anyone here have data?