this post was submitted on 27 Jun 2026
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[–] Telorand@reddthat.com 59 points 2 months ago (14 children)

I wouldn't say "never," but it's very likely that RAM prices will not return to pre-AI (read: bullshit) levels. Many markets do this; hike up to crazy levels during a boom, come back down 80%, rinse and repeat.

The only thing that might put a stop to it is competition or the unicorn business that focuses upon everyday consumers and not purely profit (lol). I'm hopeful China is able to be a spoiler to this current tech hegemony, given general US hegemony is basically over, but the home computing market is probably fucked in the meantime.

[–] artyom@piefed.social 12 points 2 months ago (3 children)

I'm hopeful China is able to be a spoiler to this current tech hegemony

As awful as that sounds, I bet that's what will happen.

[–] scrubbles@poptalk.scrubbles.tech 9 points 2 months ago (2 children)

That's what I'm guessing. The consumer market is a multi-billion dollar industry. If Micron, Samsung, and SK Hynex are too big for it now, that's them leaving money on the table for others. Smaller companies will kick up, like those in China, and they'll gladly take the money left for them. It'll just take a while for them to get there.

[–] Azzu@leminal.space 2 points 2 months ago* (last edited 2 months ago) (1 children)

The thing is, are they really leaving money on the table? Higher prices means less customers, yes, but also higher profits per unit. We don't actually know right now how many people would be willing to pay these new prices: if it costs twice as much but half the customers are still fine buying it, then profit stayed the same. And with no choice, I suspect much more than half are going to pay double.

Of course, the people who wouldn't do that are a potential market, but they are also a much lower profit margin. Comparably, that's probably not that much for these people.

[–] scrubbles@poptalk.scrubbles.tech 3 points 2 months ago

There's a whole segment who are going unserved because of those high prices. Gamers across the board and enthusiasts, the entire consumer market, because RAM is too expensive. Someone else figures out how to make RAM at scale and undercut the fake inflation of the cartel could make billions easily. That's money sitting on the table.

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